Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 2075.605596 2263.919871 2456.499228 2667.882340 2893.094633 3125.578224 3383.417382
2024-10-06 1807.638431 2088.630530 2388.492599 2731.168974 3110.765722 3517.227998 3984.183109
2024-10-13 1607.300634 1940.245795 2307.094262 2738.929082 3230.909074 3771.523745 4407.988176
2024-10-20 1455.490273 1823.861793 2240.866285 2743.992417 3330.527512 3988.660953 4778.749063
2024-10-27 1279.822894 1662.307338 2106.578109 2655.148043 3308.426554 4055.604790 4968.569116
2024-11-03 1223.354363 1635.769192 2124.813052 2739.851922 3484.620258 4349.173528 5419.992387
2024-11-10 1158.223663 1592.323090 2117.301415 2789.029801 3615.195524 4587.466984 5806.769839
2024-11-17 1076.728719 1522.064549 2071.271831 2786.050531 3678.603532 4743.015162 6093.901374
2024-11-24 991.526396 1441.118876 2006.440127 2754.572673 3702.663084 4847.854000 6317.979567
2024-12-01 940.707558 1401.492390 1990.917003 2782.434380 3798.443698 5039.273943 6647.857450
2024-12-08 883.175582 1349.138385 1955.571576 2781.889946 3856.107110 5182.311604 6918.106291
2024-12-15 851.730748 1330.109159 1962.190114 2834.429821 3980.807712 5409.290709 7294.259067
2024-12-22 796.625285 1276.149947 1920.851878 2823.432345 4024.441450 5536.683452 7550.449419
2024-12-29 773.123516 1265.457421 1937.120237 2888.820070 4168.212982 5793.028803 7972.908092
2025-01-05 731.714795 1226.458068 1912.308230 2896.909465 4235.252818 5950.677819 8270.564367
2025-01-12 692.587472 1188.461278 1886.795614 2902.197293 4297.275284 6101.370682 8559.913780
2025-01-19 625.573633 1104.930501 1793.131876 2809.394108 4223.760436 6072.312761 8614.461658
2025-01-26 618.233545 1111.784134 1828.862552 2897.872953 4397.393223 6369.902699 9097.468517
2025-02-02 600.490443 1101.393184 1838.690719 2949.230260 4520.279821 6601.235224 9495.747322
2025-02-09 568.555206 1066.863699 1811.402379 2946.119208 4566.905229 6730.589352 9760.171395
2025-02-16 530.743819 1020.793239 1764.880900 2913.247018 4570.377096 6800.912139 9945.918520
2025-02-23 511.406038 1003.765536 1761.275310 2942.343060 4660.779087 6989.219499 10290.611663
2025-03-02 485.812318 974.935297 1738.332180 2941.774534 4708.358779 7119.081473 10557.502997